Egon’s Publications

Gold is the ultimate protection against the Great Financial Catastrophe

KWN – August 24, 2015

 

Gold is the ultimate protection against the Great Financial Catastrophe

by Egon von Greyerz

What is currently happening in markets should be no surprise to investors who understand sound money and have been following our risk warnings in the last few years.

The world has been living in cloud cuckoo land for so long that unlimited credit at zero percent, hundreds of trillions of dollars of new credit and quadrillions in derivatives were all believed to be real money and assets and part of normality. In the last couple of days we can see how quickly euphoria changes to fear. The Dow went down over 500 points on Friday and started down over 1,000 points on Monday, the biggest one day fall ever. The Plunge Protection Team then managed to buy the Dow back up a loss of a hundred points. But they failed to hold it so the market fell almost 600 points by the close.

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The Great Financial Catastrophe

The Great Financial Catastrophe

by Egon von Greyerz

Most people are blissfully ignorant of the fact that 2007-8 was just a mild rehearsal of what we soon are going to experience. The additional $60 trillion in credit and printed money since then and the lowering of interest rates to zero have given the world the impression that all is now well again.

Let me be very clear, nothing is well. As a matter of fact in the 8 years since the start of the Great Financial Crisis the bubble economy has now properly spread to the world’s second largest economy – China.  China has had exponential growth in debt from $2 trillion to $28T this century. A major part of this debt has financed white elephant projects and ghost cities. It would be surprising if the total Chinese bad debts were below $10 trillion before all of this is finished.

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Gold – One World Two Markets

Gold – One World Two Markets

by Egon von Greyerz

The world is now at tipping point and this coming autumn we are likely to see the beginning of what I in an 2009 article described as “The Dark Years Are Here”.

We are not just going to experience another correction, giving investors yet a chance to buy the dips in a never ending  bullmarket bonanza. No, this time we will see the end of a 100 year Central Bank money printing and debt extravaganza. And maybe it is the end of a bigger cycle since the early 18th century or possibly even a 2000 year cycle. Read the rest of this entry »

REALVISION TV – Timeless Arguments by Egon von Greyerz

Moderated February 10th, 2015 by
Categories: All publications, Egon's Publications, Video & Podcast

REALVISION TV – Timeless Arguments by Egon von Greyerz

realvisiontv

RealVision TV gives you direct access to world-class financial experts. And crucially RealVisionTV gives them the freedom to say what they really think about the issues that they believe matter.

Subscribers include some of the world’s largest and most successful hedge funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and Family Offices.

Back in May last year Real Vision TV recorded a number of pre-launch interviews in San Diego during John Mauldin’s strategic investment conference. Read the rest of this entry »

Market volatility in 2015 will go wild

Moderated January 16th, 2015 by
Categories: All publications, Egon's Publications, King World News

Market volatility in 2015 will go wild

 

by Egon von Greyerz  – Jan 16 2014

On January 15, the Euro lost 30% against the Swiss Franc and the Dollar lost 25% in a few seconds. All stops in the market will have been triggered at the maximum loss level. At the end of the day the decline settled at around 15% for both the Euro and the Dollar.

eurchfcapitulation

Many hedge funds will have made considerable losses and also several banks. One Forex broker at least went under and several will have suffered irreparable losses.

Although this event was not major enough to shake the world it will be another nail in the coffin of the vulnerable financial system, as well as a sign of the exponential rise we will see in volatility and market failures during 2015.

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Internal Memo from Jomas Thordan, President of the National Bank

Moderated December 1st, 2014 by
Categories: All publications, Egon's Publications

The below memo could have been written by Thomas Jordan, president of the SNB.

Internal Memo National Bank

From: Jomas Thordan, President

To: The Board of Directors

Date: December 1, 2014

I have been quite concerned about the outcome of the Gold Initiative referendum. That is why I have been in the media virtually every day for the last few weeks. I know that the National Bank should not conduct a campaign during a referendum of this kind but since it was a matter of national importance I had no other choice.

As you know, until 1999 we had over 40% gold backing in our balance sheet. At the time it was thought that this amount of gold was critical for the stability of the National Bank and our national currency. But fortunately we managed to change the constitution which allowed us to sell more than half of the nation’s gold at the bottom of the market. We have been bloody lucky fortunate that the Bank’s reputation was intact after this decision which cost our nation 30 Billion. It was clearly incompetent unlucky to sell the gold at the lows but market timing has never been our strong point.

I am extremely pleased that 77% of the voters agreed with my propaganda statements that gold plays no role in modern banking. Gold is a relic of the past. We can’t print gold and that is a major disadvantage when we want to manipulate manage our currency and financial markets. Our principles for managing the National Bank are now laid down by the Federal Reserve and ultimately Goldman Sachs. Here at the Bank we fully subscribe to the statement of the wise Mayer Amshel Rotschild: “Give me control of a nation’s money and I care not who make its laws.”

So fortunately we don’t have to buy any more gold and we should probably consider selling the 1,000 tons we may still own since it serves no purpose and has no yield. That would also give us ammunition to buy more euros.

The one concern that I would like to share with the board is our currency position. As you are well aware, we have printed over 400 billion and bought mainly assets in euros but also in other currencies in order to hold the peg above 1.20. We are all aware that printed pieces of paper are not really worth anything but since we are a national bank, we can just tell the people that it is real money. Fortunately they are foolish wise enough to believe us.

The reason I have been so nervous about the referendum is that the Bank is now sitting on the biggest speculative currency position of any major central bank in the world. Our balance sheet of 522 Billion is over 80% of GDP which is an extremely dangerous position for our country. It is virtually impossible to get out of this massive position without a loss of 10s of Billions or even as much as 100 Billion. Obviously the people would ultimately pay for this loss.

The 1.20 peg is artificial and throughout history no currency peg has ever held in the longer term. Over time currency rates always reflect economic and monetary differences between countries. Since our economy, for a while at least, is likely to continue to be stronger than the weak eurozone, our home currency will naturally outperform the euro. We are of course extremely grateful that the voters listened to our propaganda information during the campaign and rejected the Gold Initiative. But sadly the Bank’s problems are not over.

This peg was critical to save the bankers banks that had lent massive amounts of our national currency to mainly Eastern European banks. So now we are totally linked with the eurozone and at some point we should perhaps discuss to make this permanent. There are of course disadvantages to be tied to a very weak currency. Everything we buy in the shops is now more expensive. Also, we could be dragged down by euroland and end up with the same economic disaster they are in. But fortunately the people don’t understand these major drawbacks.

But the biggest problem with taking the euro as our currency is that the Bank would lose its ability to be irresponsible independent. The ECB would take over and we would lose all our power to print money.

Therefore I recommend to the Board that we stay as we are. But that still gives us the headache of our 470 billion speculative currency position. This is a timebomb and we know we will never be able to extract from it without very major losses. Hopefully the current board will have retired from the National Bank before this happens so a new board can be blamed for it.

Finally I would like to thank the Board for their support of my actions. The Bank now retains total “control of the Nation’s money” which is comforting.

Jomas Thordan

President

 

P.S. The above is a fictional account of events and any connection to a real situation is purely coincidental.

 

 

Will this save the Swiss financial system?

Moderated October 2nd, 2014 by
Categories: All publications, Egon's Publications, Video & Podcast
Will this save the Swiss financial system?

by Egon von Greyerz  – October 2014

swisssolidityflagOn 30 November 2014 the Swiss People has the opportunity to determine not just the fate of their own financial system but also to be the catalyst for the return to sound money in the Western World.

The “Gold Initiative” referendum November 30, 2014

On November 30th the Swiss will vote on:

  1. Returning their national gold which is held abroad back to Switzerland
  2. Requiring the Swiss National Bank to hold 20% of their assets in physical gold
  3. Prohibiting further gold sales

Money printing SNBSo why is this referendum so important?  Because Switzerland has, for hundreds of years, Read the rest of this entry »

Swiss to vote on gold repatriation in November

22 August 2014 – Egon von Greyerz

Swiss Gold Referendum on November 30

One of the very few remaining proper democracies in the world will vote on bringing the Swiss Gold back to Switzerland on November 30.

This is an initiative that could only happen in Switzerland. An influential member of parliament, Luzi Stamm, representing the biggest Swiss party SVP (Swiss People’s Party) started this initiative with two other parliamentarians.

In order to have a national referendum on an issue in Switzerland, 100,000 supporting signatures are required. The ‘Swiss Gold Initiative’ already achieved this requirement in early 2013.
Not only will the referendum deal with gold repatriation but also seeks to stop all gold sales by the SNB (Swiss National Bank) and to require the SNB to hold 20% of its assets in gold. Read the rest of this entry »

Gold Manipulators are Desperate

Moderated July 17th, 2014 by
Categories: All publications, Articles-3rdParty, Egon's Publications

Gold Manipulators are Desparate

From Egon von Greyerz(in reference to Paul Craig Roberts’s latest blog)

With virtually empty gold vaults, the central banks and bullion banks are now becoming desperate.

The action we are seeing in the paper gold market with the recent $50 takedown is yet more proof of the corner that the gold manipulators have put themselves into by having virtually no physical gold left.

A rising gold price is dangerous for the manipulators. This would inevitably lead to more physical demand, something that would be disastrous for the manipulators. As the holders of paper gold begin to realise that neither Comex nor the bullion banks or the Central banks have a fraction of the gold required to satisfy the gold paper claims, they will demand delivery. With the paper gold market being up to 100 times the physical market, there will of course be nowhere near the gold available at current prices to satisfy the outstanding paper claims.

The gold manipulators are going to lose this game. This is a certainty. The only question is when. They have managed to frighten investors by manipulating the price down substantially in the last few years. In spite of that gold has gone from $250 in 1999 to $1,300 today.

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Trade of the decade

Moderated April 10th, 2014 by
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Trade of the decade

DOW-Q-1975-2014 The US stockmarket continues its rise to dizzy heights. The rise has very little to do with economic fundamentals but is more a function of money printing and the weak dollar.

The US in now slowly entering its hyperinflationary phase. Food prices are already up 19% in the first three months of 2014. On an annualised basis that is 76% which is a clear sign that hyperinflation is already starting.

The dollar is likely to start a severe decline this year on its way to the intrinsic value of ZERO. As it falls the vicious spiral of a falling currency and massive money printing is likely to destroy the US economy in a hyperinflationary depression. This will not only happen in the US but also in Japan, the Eurozone and the UK. But the US will be the first country to experience the destruction of its currency.

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