GLOBAL DEBT IS A PEST THAT MUST BE ERADICATED

The coming gold and silver surge is guaranteed. It is not a question of IF but only WHEN. Initially, the imminent revaluation of the precious metals will have nothing to do with an investment mania but with the total mismanagement of the world economy. A spectacular rise in the metals is just a reflection of the mess the world is in. But as the paper market fails in gold and silver, there will be panic and manic markets.

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TAKE THE PRECIOUS METAL TIDE OR END UP IN MISERIES

With global investment markets standing at crossroads, investors have the option to lose it all or to benefit from the biggest wealth transfer in history. I have quoted this passage from Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar many times but it is more appropriate than ever for the situation the world is now in: “There is a tide

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TAKE COLLATERAL IN PHYSICAL GOLD IF YOU LEND MONEY TO YOUR BANK

Will this be the Fall of Falls. 10 years after the Lehman collapse, will we again have an Autumn of Shocks in financial markets? The odds are very high! Overstretched stock markets look extremely vulnerable including 13 recent Hindenburg Omens for the US market. The Dollar could soon be on its final leg to oblivion and US Treasury Bonds on the verge of a major fall that will eventually lead to hyperinflationary yields like Argentina and Turkey in the 20%+ region.

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A SUBMERGING GLOBAL ECONOMY

Many emerging markets are now turning to submerging markets as country after country is experiencing falling economies, currencies and stock markets.
The currency is often the best indication of a country’s economic health. Just look at these six currencies submerging into obscurity:

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THE DARK YEARS ARE HERE II

Hindsight is the most exact of all sciences. Most people who live their life backwards have a miserable life. Having been around for a while, I tend not to look back, especially not at negative events. Much better to embrace uncertainty since everything going forward from here is uncertain. We

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THE LAST HURRAH BEFORE THE DARK YEARS

This is it! The autumn of 2018 will be momentous in the world economy, markets and politics.
We are now seeing the Last Hurrah for stocks, bonds, the dollar and most asset markets.

The world economy has been living on borrowed time since the 2006-9 crisis. The financial system should have collapsed at that time. But the massive life support that central banks orchestrated managed to keep the dying patient alive for another decade. Lowering interest rates to zero or negative and printing enough money to double global debt seem to have solved the problem. But rather than saving the world from an economic collapse, the growth of debt and asset bubbles has created a system with exponentially higher risk.

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INSURE YOUR WEALTH OR LOSE IT ALL

Embrace uncertainty – Anyone who doesn’t follow this momentous maxim in coming years is likely to get one unpleasant shock after the next. Because the stable progression of the world economy since WWII is now coming to an end. What should have been a normal cyclical high in the next year or two, is now going to be the most massive implosion of a bubble full of debts and inflated assets. The system has been “successfully” manipulated for decades by central banks, certain commercial banks, the BIS in Basel and the IMF for the benefit of a small elite.

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DOW / GOLD – A 98% FALL NEXT

“The winner takes it all, the loser standing small” (an Abba song) is the next phase in the world economy. Sadly there will be few real winners since the world and its people will be the loser in the coming phase of destruction of asset values, implosion of debts as well as a breakdown of the fabric of society.

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FIRST QE THEN QT THEREAFTER TE –THE END

Where have all the dollars gone?
Long time passing
Where have all the dollars gone?
Long time ago
Where have all the dollars gone?
Uncle Sam has spent them everyone
When will he ever learn?
When will he ever learn?

When Pete Seeger wrote the famous song “Where have all the dollars flowers gone” back in 1955, little did he know that the total US debt which then was a few hundred billion dollars, would 63 years later be almost $70 trillion.

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THE US IS DEAD BROKE

“The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower becomes the lender’s slave.”
– Solomon

This is the story about Debtor, a newborn American baby. Debtor has just been born into the greatest economy in the world, a land full of promises and opportunities. This is what his parents tell him. But unbeknown to Debtor, he has been given a very bad start in life. Because the parents haven’t told Debtor, and how could they since they are not aware themselves, that he starts life with a massive debt burden that will grow manifold during his lifetime.

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US DEBT EXPLOSION & WEIMAR II

Can investors really be that wrong? Global risk is today greater than ever in history and at the same time the great majority of investors show no fear at all. There are so many potential catalysts that could shake the world economy out of its sweet dreams into a living nightmare that it is impossible to forecast where the trigger will come from. It could be a debt collapse in Japan, China, USA, Eurozone or emerging markets. Or it could be a currency collapse in any of those regions. Or it could be a stock market collapse, or it could be ……, or it could be……

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FOLLOW THE MONEY – FOLLOW CHINA, RUSSIA AND INDIA

Whilst the US government worries about the military threat of Russia, and the trade deficit with China, they show no concern for the real problems. To understand what is really happening, all we need to do is to Follow the Money. The flows of real money reveal where global economic power is moving.

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FOLLOW SWISS PENSION FUND – BUY GOLD – “DON’T WORRY BE HAPPY”

Brexit, Quitaly and Grexit. Debt Defaults, Stock Shocks, Bond Bubbles, Properties Popping, Derivative Defaults and Banks Busting. Well that is just some of the events that twill take place in the next few years. But the world is living in ignorant bliss of what is coming next. As the song tells us:


“In every life we have some trouble
But when you worry you make it double
Don’t worry, be happy
Don’t worry, be happy now
don’t worry”


Well this well-known song says it all. Risk in the world is growing exponentially but no one is worrying.

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ITALY, HYPERINFLATION AND GOLD

The ECB (European Central Bank) just had its 20th birthday. But there is really nothing to celebrate. The EU is in a total mess and the Euro which was launched on January 1, 1999 is a failed currency. Every President of the ECB has had to deal with fires that had very little to do with price stability but were more a question of survival. Most of these fires were a lot more serious than the candles in the Euro cake on the left which Draghi is trying to blow out. During the French ECB Trichet’s watch, he had even bigger fire to blow out which was the Great Financial Crisis that started in 2006.

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GOLD – THE ONLY MONEY THAT CAN’T BE DEBASED

In 1980, global assets, including property, were less than $20 trillion. Today almost 40 years later they have grown to $524 trillion. That is a compound annual growth rate of 9% which is quite remarkable for a 38 year period. Global assets have gone up 26 fold during this period. In the same period, gold went from an average price of around $650 in 1980 to $1,300 today.

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WILL POVERTY, DISEASE AND WAR LEAD TO 3 BILLION FEWER PEOPLE?

There are 51 million American households that cannot make ends meet. This means that 43% of American households can’t afford a basic middle class life. Of these, 35 million are dubbed ALICE which stands for Asset Limited, Income Constrained, Employed with a further 16 million households living in poverty. It is absolutely remarkable that in the world’s biggest and “richest”country, just under 50% of the households are struggling to afford a basic middle class life and that 50 million people live in poverty.

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THE MOST INGENIOUS INVENTION IN THE HISTORY OF FINANCE

We are now in the final stages of a journey which by future historians will be seen as unreal as Lewis Carroll’s “Alice in Wonderland”. Just like Alice called the “Mad Tea Party”, “the stupidest tea party she had ever been to”, the last 100 years could be called the Craziest Extravaganza in history. At the end of the story the Queen of Hearts shouts “Off with her head”. But Alice is not afraid and calls them all “A pack of cards” before she wakes up.

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GOLD IS GOOD – GREED IS NO GOOD

It can’t happen here! What is happening in Venezuela and Argentina cannot occur in Western economies. That’s at least what markets believe with stocks and most bubble assets remaining in cloud cuckoo land. Rates in Argentina have just gone to 40% to protect the currency. Anyone who believes that rates in the US will remain at current low levels or that German and Japanese rates will remain negative has a massive shock coming.

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GOLD HOLDERS – CENTENNIAL OPPORTUNITY

Strategic investments are made for the long run and with no intent of short term gains or concern of short term fluctuations. This kind of investing is based on buying undervalued and unloved assets and holding them for a very long term. This is what we did with gold in early 2002 for our investors and ourselves.

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